Features
Everything you need to
analyze prediction markets.
PolyGuru is a prediction-market analysis tool โ not a tipping service. Every feature exists so you can answer one question: where does the crowd's price disagree with the real probability?
Daily market analysis
Not just picks โ the reasoning behind them
Every morning we analyse 1,500+ active Polymarket events. For each flagged market you see the AI probability, confidence score, edge vs price, bull/bear factors, cited sources, and trading implications.
- โTop Tip (free) + 5 Alpha Signals (Pro) + extended list
- โCategory-diverse (AI, crypto, politics, finance, sportsโฆ)
- โAuto-refreshed daily at 7:15 UTC
Deep analysis
Iterative research, 12+ searches
Pro unlocks the full deep-analysis report for the top signals. Multi-round research, ensemble second opinion, scenario framework, catalyst calendar, and source-quality grading.
- โFull 2-4 paragraph reasoning per signal
- โCited TIER 1 primary sources only
- โBear / base / bull scenario probabilities
Bankroll + Kelly sizing
Stop guessing bet sizes
Declare your bankroll, set your risk profile (conservative / moderate / aggressive), and we compute the right stake for every signal. Half-Kelly by default because full-Kelly is for sociopaths.
- โRunning P&L ledger, live updates when bets resolve
- โPer-category exposure caps (no 40% of bankroll in crypto)
- โDaily + weekly loss circuit breakers
Public backtest
See our accuracy before you pay
The /stats page is open to everyone. Every resolved prediction, sortable by date / category / depth. Calibration reliability plot, bet-simulation P&L, category accuracy.
- โFilterable by period (7d / 30d / 90d / YTD / custom)
- โCategory + depth breakdown
- โBrier score + calibration error
WhatsApp alerts
For the bets you can't miss
Strong signals trigger a WhatsApp ping within seconds. No app, no email latency โ the ones that matter reach you fast.
- โPer-signal opt-in per user
- โConfigurable signal-strength threshold
- โDaily digest option (8 AM)
Sports add-on
+$15/mo on top of Pro
Dedicated sports dashboard, 5 alpha signals daily tuned for confidence-matching (not edge-hunting โ different game). Sports markets browser, esports tagged separately.
- โSame-day matches supported (today/tomorrow resolution)
- โSharp-book consensus comparison
- โClassic sports + esports (๐ฎ tagged)
CSV export
Own your data
Every prediction, every resolved outcome, your full bet log โ exportable as CSV. Bring to Excel, Google Sheets, or your own analysis notebook.
- โFilter before export (period / category / depth)
- โIncludes market metadata, AI confidence, actual outcomes
- โPro feature โ data integrity matters
Live-edge safety check
No stale signals
When you click to log a bet, we re-fetch the current Polymarket price server-side. If the edge has decayed or flipped, we warn you before saving. No accidentally chasing evaporated edges.
- โRuns on every bet log click
- โBlocks bets where edge has already gone
- โShows you fresh price + fresh edge in the warning
Ready to unlock it all?
Pro is $29/mo or $290/year (2 months free). Cancel anytime from the billing portal โ monthly ends end of month, yearly ends end of year, and you keep full access until the period ends.