Can I see the accuracy before I pay?

Yes. Our full backtest, reliability plot, and every resolved prediction is public at /stats — no login required.

What is the Sports add-on?

Sports is a $15/mo add-on available to Pro users. It unlocks a dedicated sports dashboard with 5 daily sports alpha signals and the sports markets browser. Sports picks use a confidence-based strategy tuned for fast-resolving match events.

Launching — early access open

Bet smarter
on Polymarket.

Q: How do I bet on Polymarket?

Create a Polymarket account (requires a crypto wallet), fund it with USDC on the Polygon network, and place bets on any active market. From countries where Polymarket is restricted you may need a VPN. PolyGuru tells you WHICH markets to bet on — with calibrated AI probability estimates delivered daily.

Q: What's the difference between Free and Pro?

Free users get 1 Top Tip daily plus full backtest access. Pro unlocks all 5 prediction Alpha Signals, extended daily list, deep reasoning + cited sources, bankroll ledger with Kelly sizing, WhatsApp alerts, and CSV export.

Q: Do I need a Polymarket account to use PolyGuru?

No. You can use PolyGuru to analyze picks and log external bets for P&L tracking. Every signal links to the underlying Polymarket market so you can place the bet there if you want to.

Every morning you get 5 prediction + 5 sports picks, each with a calibrated probability, confidence score, and cited sources. Our proprietary AI analysis runs the research you don't have time for — on every active Polymarket event.

Start Free — today's Top Tip See live accuracy →

✓ Free tier✓ 14-day Pro trial✓ Public backtest

⭐ Today's Top Tip

Crypto · DEEP

Will ETH close above $2,500 by end of week?

AI Prob

64%

Market

46%

Edge

+18.0%

Conf

0.72

+ Log $50 on YES

Poly ↗

mock preview · real picks live on dashboard

1,500+

Markets scanned daily

every morning

Deep AI signals / day

5 prediction + 5 sports

Categories covered

crypto, politics, sports…

±5 pts

Calibration target

AI vs actual outcome

Polymarket has 1,500 markets.
You have 2 hours.

Every market needs hours of reading to price correctly. News, polls, on-chain data, odds, history. We do the research. You pick the winners.

How it works

Fully automated. You wake up, check the dashboard, decide.

We scan

Every morning our system reviews the full Polymarket board and identifies the markets most worth analyzing.

We research

Live web research + market data + historical base rates — hundreds of data points per market.

We pick

Our AI produces a calibrated probability, confidence score, and recommendation for each candidate.

You act

Top 5 prediction + 5 sports signals land on your dashboard by 7:15 UTC. Place, log, track.

What you get every morning

One Top Tip. Five Alpha Signals. Full context.

Each pick comes with our AI's probability estimate, the market price, the edge, a confidence score, scenario analysis, and cited sources. Click to log a bet — we check the live Polymarket price first and warn you if the edge has decayed.

✓2-4 paragraphs of reasoning, cited sources
✓Bear / base / bull scenario probabilities
✓Live-edge safety check before every bet log
✓Weekly recalibration based on resolved outcomes

Crypto · DEEP

Will Bitcoin close above $100K on April 30?

AI 72%·Mkt 61%·+11.0%YES

Sports · STANDARD

Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid — Bayern wins

AI 58%·Mkt 49%·+9.0%YES

Finance · DEEP

Will Fed cut rates at May meeting?

AI 38%·Mkt 52%·-14.0%NO

Two strategies. One system.

Prediction markets and sports markets behave differently — so we use two different playbooks.

🎯

Prediction

Edge-hunting. Crypto, politics, finance, AI — these markets are reasonably efficient, so real profit comes from mispricings. We look for markets where our AI disagrees meaningfully with the crowd.

• High edge × high confidence
• Base-rate anchored + threshold math
• Live on-chain / price ground-truth for crypto

🏆

Sports

Add-on +$15/mo

Confidence-matching.Polymarket sports prices lag sharp bookmakers by hours — so the edge is there when our AI confirms the sharp consensus and Polymarket hasn't caught up.

• Same-day matches supported
• Esports tagged 🎮 separately from classic sports
• Sharp-book comparison + injury / lineup signals

Show me the calibration.

Any AI can claim accuracy. We publish the proof.

📈

Public backtest

Every resolved prediction, sortable. Full P&L simulation. Reliability plot. No login required.

View /stats →

🧪

Weekly retraining

Every Sunday we retrain per-category confidence thresholds from the week's resolved picks. The system corrects itself.

How we measure →

⚠️

Accuracy-first

When evidence is thin, we match the market price and say 'no edge'. NEUTRAL is a valid output.

How it works →

Simple, honest pricing

Free tier never expires. Backtest + calibration plot stay open.

Free

$0forever

✓1 Top Tip daily
✓Full backtest + calibration plot
✓Read-only portfolio
✓14-day Pro trial available anytime

Create free account

Pro

$29/month

✓5 daily Alpha Signals + extended list
✓Full reasoning, sources, scenarios
✓Bankroll ledger + Kelly sizing
✓WhatsApp strong-signal alerts
✓CSV export + backtest pro filters
✓14-day trial, no credit card

Start 14-day trial

Pro + Sports

$44/month

✓Everything in Pro
✓+ 5 sports alpha signals daily
✓+ Sports dashboard + markets
✓+ Same-day match picks
✓+ Esports tagged separately
✓Pro required ($29 + $15 add-on)

Unlock Sports

All plans cancel anytime · Invoicing & VAT handled by Stripe · No hidden fees

Questions, answered

How do I bet on Polymarket?+

You need a Polymarket account (requires a crypto wallet), USDC on the Polygon network to fund it, and (in restricted countries) a VPN. We have step-by-step guides — including country-specific instructions.

Can I see the accuracy before paying?+

Yes. Our /stats page is public, shows every resolved prediction with category breakdown, and includes a reliability plot so you can verify calibration yourself. Free tier never expires.

What's the difference between Free and Pro?+

Free users get 1 Top Tip per day + full backtest access. Pro ($29/mo) unlocks all 5 daily Alpha Signals, full reasoning + sources, the bankroll ledger with Kelly sizing, WhatsApp alerts, and CSV export. 14-day trial, no credit card.

How is the Sports add-on different?+

Sports events resolve in hours, not weeks, and have a competing efficient market (Pinnacle, Circa). We use a confidence-based strategy (AI + sharp books align) rather than edge-hunting. It's a separate section with 5 daily picks, $15/mo on top of Pro.

Is this legal where I am?+

PolyGuru is an information service — you make your own betting decisions. Polymarket itself isn't available in every country (US residents should check their state's rules). If your country is flagged, our bet-log button disables automatically. See our country-specific guides for details.

Do I need a Polymarket account to use PolyGuru?+

No. You can use PolyGuru for picks analysis and P&L tracking even if you bet elsewhere (or not at all). Every signal links to the underlying Polymarket market if you want to place the bet.

Can I cancel anytime?+

Yes. Stripe handles billing, cancel from your account at any time. The 14-day Pro trial doesn't require a credit card.

Start free. See today's pick.

Your free account unlocks today's Top Tip + full backtest access in under 30 seconds. No credit card.

Create free account →See accuracy first

Bet smarteron Polymarket.

Polymarket has 1,500 markets. You have 2 hours.